H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Effects ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and exceptionally powerful typhoon that triggered enormous damage and considerable death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests hurricane conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a typhoon that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered cyclone cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon experts formerly alerted hurricanes might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy